Description

This analysis provides a forecast of COTI prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-30 0.051214 0.059727 0.069075 0.080084 0.092673 0.106600 0.123153
2025-04-06 0.037774 0.048749 0.061922 0.078818 0.099829 0.125005 0.157353
2025-04-13 0.028937 0.040865 0.056346 0.077734 0.106306 0.142922 0.193123
2025-04-20 0.024491 0.037423 0.055385 0.081827 0.119356 0.170230 0.243816
2025-04-27 0.020858 0.034239 0.054001 0.084790 0.130887 0.196517 0.295948
2025-05-04 0.016893 0.029707 0.049769 0.082746 0.134647 0.211970 0.334207
2025-05-11 0.014118 0.026462 0.046855 0.082051 0.139997 0.229902 0.377499
2025-05-18 0.011629 0.023187 0.043295 0.079649 0.142107 0.242771 0.413949
2025-05-25 0.009740 0.020594 0.040423 0.077871 0.144802 0.256530 0.452745
2025-06-01 0.008480 0.018933 0.038908 0.078163 0.150885 0.276179 0.502660
2025-06-08 0.007161 0.016894 0.036352 0.076140 0.152515 0.288259 0.540661
2025-06-15 0.006664 0.016471 0.036840 0.079900 0.165036 0.320293 0.615771
2025-06-22 0.005890 0.015326 0.035757 0.080536 0.171941 0.343299 0.677625
2025-06-29 0.005015 0.013773 0.033579 0.078647 0.173718 0.357066 0.723973
2025-07-06 0.004313 0.012486 0.031770 0.077264 0.176305 0.372535 0.774779
2025-07-13 0.004058 0.012276 0.032359 0.081177 0.190240 0.411139 0.872898
2025-07-20 0.003760 0.011892 0.032480 0.084037 0.202219 0.446858 0.968195
2025-07-27 0.003232 0.010757 0.030591 0.081971 0.203211 0.460396 1.020417
2025-08-03 0.002843 0.009935 0.029350 0.081262 0.207115 0.480211 1.086841
2025-08-10 0.002436 0.008958 0.027535 0.078872 0.206854 0.491128 1.135610
2025-08-17 0.002111 0.008156 0.026053 0.077105 0.207825 0.504709 1.190947
2025-08-24 0.001899 0.007679 0.025395 0.077391 0.213752 0.529642 1.272475
2025-08-31 0.001642 0.006978 0.023963 0.075386 0.213767 0.541237 1.325622